If we wish to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a great sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and a few nice guaranteed profitable bets can be purchased if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your cash from you and there are lots of inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in lots of ways talk about timing. The sooner the price appears the more likely you will see a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do plenty of research as soccer has now become a big earner for them. They have to do that as they are only too conscious that the serious punters have become much shrewder within this market and definately will exploit any snippets of news which could give them an edge. They advertise heavily inside the tabloids.
Whereas in a few minor sports there may be just one odds compiler doing work for the bookmaker soccer is too lucrative with this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for the big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will provide odds on soccer, its a higher revenue turnover sport.
Such is their turnover on the ever increasing IBO88 that Ladbrokes and other such big bookmakers are prepared to require a ‘big’ bet on the outcome of a match. This can be clearly great news for your arb maker. Because of this the utmost bets they are going to accept over a bet are much higher.
There are many types of soccer bets. Firstly there is a match winner. This can be divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. And then there are the very first goal scorer as well as the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total numbers of yellow and red cards and so forth. Actually anything where odds can be set to will provide a betting opportunity.
So what are the best soccer bets to find? Firstly forget about predicting the match score, you will find too many outcomes. The first goal scorer is a total waste of time too. Both these kinds of bets are heavily advertised however are for mug punters only, the percentages consistently offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly overtaking 15% profit on the book. These bets have far too many possible outcomes. We are searching for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The best way to play the soccer marketplace is to open accounts with European bookmakers since the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions with this sport. They are going to price the sport in their own individual country and the matches in foreign countries. Anything to create a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy compared to the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the game. Everyone thinks they know best on this subject and egos get in the form of sensible pricing. This really is great news for all of us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where because they may well have greater detailed expertise in the comings and goings in their countries they may be depending on third parties to collate info on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is in midweek games between groups of different nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to get patriotic when it comes to events in which the opposition are ‘foreign’. The probability of the house team get talked up as well as the odds might get skewed inside their favour as the weight of money is overly wagered inside their direction.
With that said the big bookmakers offer an early price, they will likely often advertise it inside the national papers and in general stick into it. Because of this a bench mark has been set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or attempt to tempt cash in their direction by giving different odds. If this would happen the arb may be available for a large amount of time.
You will always find discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers tend to stick around the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But bear in mind they may be ‘guessing’ just what the odds should be just like you together with me. They may be basing their opinion on past experience and they also might utilise statistical formulae but they still must form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can obtain it wrong as well as other firms can require a totally different look at the result of the game. An entirely different view will simply result in a slight variation within the odds but this can be sufficient to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to start with the better obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be covered by many different bookmakers around Europe. This does however give a complication. Although quite simple for finding arbs, the mere fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you are going to get spotted from the bookmakers should you concentrate your action here.
Also they are going to be unwilling to accept high maximum bets on matches where they may have done little research. On the other hand it really is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You need to weigh up the pros and cons with this strategy.
This can be a fairly obscure area of betting and if someone was to check your money over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your account it may ring alarm bells. The motto here is to dilute the bets by betting on as many different form of sport and events as possible so your accounts have varied bets upon them. This shouldn’t be a problem as many different sports are perfect for sure bets.
The more prominent European ties may also produce arbs and they are generally not as likely to draw in attention to you and the utmost bets is going to be higher.
As before you are unable to control whether or not the individual bets win or lose but soccer is really a 3 way result therefore 2 losing bets to 1 winning one can be useful on your account. The point is which not so many people are thinking about the lower European divisions and it also may become clear the betting pattern is a bit unusual. This is especially valid in case your bets to the maximum permitted.
Injury news can become a lucrative area in soccer. Think it over. When a player fails a late fitness test over a Saturday and he is the teams star striker then this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned approximately play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play in the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this and altered prices as the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or will not have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This kind of last minute frantic activity is extremely keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair where you can act as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through among the many soccer internet sites. Alternatively satellite television stations also have comprehensive news coverage of all of the games and they are quick to offer you any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, but not all simultaneously, only one by one so creating sure bets.
In this particular scenario where costs are changing bet on the old price first. The brand new prices are one that wont change the old cost is the one which is going to and so may be lost should you be not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be all about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then the arbs are more inclined to show up.
Recently the English referees have grown to be more lenient inside the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for your total variety of bookings in a game. Some of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly as well as others failed to. This will change the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s look at the red and yellow card market. Should you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for a yellow card and 25 points to get a red. A player can get a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting here is normally split into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say chances of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 and also over 30 points, probably the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a record of animosity involving the teams where case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this kind of bet is not going to figure strongly within your plans. Plus it is unusual to discover information being issued which will affect the total bookings bet. But a basic bit of news like the plan for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to several arb. The final outcome is not to expect excessive sure betting activity from the issuing of red and yellow cards however it not so difficult to check the odds.